NEW
JERSEY
2ND
CARBON
MONOXIDE
MAINTENANCE
PLAN,

CONFORMITY
BUDGETS,
AND
EMISSIONS
INVENTORIES
TECHNICAL
SUPPORT
DOCUMENT
(
TSD)

April
27,
2006
US
Environmental
Protection
Agency
(
EPA)
Region
II
Division
of
Environmental
Planning
and
Protection
Air
Programs
Branch
2
TABLE
OF
CONTENTS
Purpose:
To
evaluate
New
Jersey
=

s
State
Implementation
Plan
revisions
which
include:
2nd
Carbon
Monoxide
Maintenance
Plan,
Conformity
Budgets,
and
Emissions
Inventories.

Section
1.
New
Jersey
State
2002
Base
Year
Inventory
SIP
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3
Section
2.
Carbon
Monoxide
Limited
Maintenance
Plan
Attainment
Inventory
for
the
Nine
Not
Classified
Areas
and
Camden
County
.
.
.
.
11
Section
3.
PM2.5
and
NOx
Annual
Emission
Inventory
Budget
Demonstration
for
the
New
Jersey
Portion
of
the
New
York/
New
Jersey/
Long
Island/
Connecticut
PM2.5
Nonattainment
Area
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
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.
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.
.
.
16
3
SECTION
1
New
Jersey
State
2002
Base
Year
Inventory
SIP
4
I.
PREFACE
This
document
is
to
support
EPA's
approval
of
a
revision
to
the
New
Jersey
State
Implementation
Plan
(
SIP)
which
pertains
to
the
following:

1.
Where
applicable,
2002
base
year
inventory
annual
emissions
for
VOC,
NOx,
CO,
PM2.5,
PM10,
NH3
and
SO2;
VOC,
NOx
and
CO
summertime
daily
emissions
for
ozone
nonattainment
areas,
and
CO
wintertime
daily
emissions
for
CO
nonattainment
areas,

2.
The
Carbon
Monoxide
Limited
Maintenance
Plan
Attainment
Inventory
for
the
Nine
Not
Classified
Areas
and
Camden
County
and,

3.
The
2009
PM2.5
and
NOx
Annual
Projected
Emission
Inventory
Budget
Demonstration
for
the
New
Jersey
Portion
of
the
New
York/
New
Jersey/
Long
Island/
Connecticut
This
TSD
contains
a
detailed
review
of
New
Jersey's
2002
Base
Emission
Inventory
submittal.
Among
the
topics
discussed
below
are
the
recent
history
and
criteria
for
approval
and
EPA's
final
recommendations.

II.
BACKGROUND
On
November
18,
2002,
EPA
designated
the
2002
base
year
inventory
as
the
inventory
for
SIP
planning
process
to
address
the
pollutants
for
the
eight
hour­
ozone,
PM2.5
and
CO
national
ambient
air
quality
standard.
Identifying
the
base
year
gives
certainty
to
States,
and
the
selection
of
2002
harmonizes
the
date
for
EPA's
Consolidated
Emissions
Reporting
rule
(
See
67
FR
39602)
dated
June
10,
2002.)
that
requires
submission
of
the
ozone,
PM2.5
and
CO
emission
inventories
every
three
years;
2002
is
one
of
the
required
years
for
such
updates.
These
requirements
allow
the
EPA,
based
on
the
state's
progress
in
reducing
emissions,
to
periodically
reassess
its
policies
and
air
quality
standards
and
revise
them
as
necessary.
Most
important,
the
2002
ozone,
new
PM2.5
and
CO
inventories
will
be
used
to
develop
and
assess
new
control
strategies
that
the
states
will
need
to
submit
in
their
attainment
demonstration
SIPs
for
the
new
national
ambient
air
quality
standards
for
ozone,
PM2.5
and
for
CO.
The
base
year
inventory
may
also
serve
as
part
of
statewide
inventories
for
purposes
of
regional
modeling
in
transport
areas.
The
base
year
inventory
plays
an
important
role
in
modeling
demonstrations
for
areas
classified
as
nonattainment
and
outside
transport
regions.
For
the
reasons
stated
above,
ideally
EPA
would
therefore
emphasize
the
importance
and
benefits
of
developing
a
comprehensive,
current,
and
accurate
2002
ozone
and
PM2.5
emission
inventory
(
similar
to
the
1990
base
year
inventory
effort).
5
III.
CRITERIA
FOR
APPROVAL
There
are
general
and
specific
components
of
an
acceptable
emission
inventory.
In
general,
the
State
must
submit
a
revision
to
its
SIP
and
the
emission
inventory
must
meet
the
minimum
requirements
for
reporting
by
source
category.
Specifically,
the
source
requirements
are
detailed
below.

The
Level
I
and
II
review
process
is
used
to
determine
that
all
components
of
the
base
year
inventory
are
present.
The
review
also
evaluates
the
level
of
supporting
documentation
provided
by
the
State
and
assesses
whether
the
emissions
were
developed
according
to
current
EPA
or
acceptable
alternative
guidance.
The
data
quality
is
also
evaluated.

The
Level
III
review
process
is
outlined
here
and
consists
of
9
points
that
the
inventory
must
adequately
address.
For
a
base
year
emission
inventory
to
be
acceptable
it
must
pass
all
of
the
following
acceptance
criteria:

Adequate
documentation
must
be
provided
that
enabled
the
reviewer
to
determine
the
emission
estimation
procedures
and
the
data
sources
used
to
develop
the
inventory.

1.
Evidence
that
the
inventory
was
quality
assured
by
the
state
and
its
implementation
documented.

2.
The
point
source
inventory
must
be
complete.

3.
Point
source
emissions
must
have
been
prepared
or
calculated
according
to
the
current
EPA
guidance.

4.
The
area
source
inventory
must
be
complete.

5.
The
area
source
emissions
must
have
been
prepared
or
calculated
according
to
the
current
EPA
guidance.

6.
Biogenic
emissions
must
have
been
prepared
according
to
current
EPA
guidance
or
another
approved
technique.

7.
Non­
road
mobile
emissions
were
prepared
according
to
current
EPA
guidance
for
all
of
the
source
categories.

8.
The
method
(
e.
g.,
HPMS
or
a
network
transportation
planning
model)
used
to
develop
VMT
estimates
must
follow
EPA
guidance.
The
VMT
development
methods
were
adequately
described
and
documented
in
the
inventory
report.

9.
The
MOBILE
model
must
be
correctly
used
to
produce
emission
factors
for
each
of
the
vehicle
classes.
6
IV.
DETAILED
ACTION
AND
EVALUATION
New
Jersey
submitted
drafts
of
the
SIP
and
comments
to
Region
2
for
the
following
documents
on
February
22,
2004,
February
21,
October
12
and
July
25,
2005,
and
January
1,
2006
for
the
following
program
area
elements:

1.
Where
applicable,
2002
base
year
inventory
annual
emissions
for
VOC,
NOx,
CO,
PM2.5,
PM10,
NH3
and
SO2;
VOC,
NOx
and
CO
summertime
daily
emissions
for
ozone
nonattainment
areas,
and
CO
wintertime
daily
emissions
for
CO
nonattainment
areas,

2.
The
Carbon
Monoxide
Limited
Maintenance
Plan
Attainment
Inventory
for
the
Nine
Not
Classified
Areas
and
Camden
County
and
3.
The
2009
PM2.5
and
NOx
Annual
Projected
Emission
Inventory
Budget
Demonstration
for
the
New
Jersey
Portion
of
the
New
York/
New
Jersey/
Long
Island/
Connecticut
On
February
21,
2006,
New
Jersey
submitted
a
proposed
SIP
revision.

Region
II
conducted
reviews
on
the
2002
base
year
inventory,
CO
Attainment
Inventory
and
2009
PM2.5
and
NOx
Annual
Projected
Emission
Inventory
Budget
Demonstration
and
provided
written
responses
to
New
Jersey
on
February
22,
2004;
April
4,
May
19,
May
23
and
August
18,
2005
and
January
30
and
March
27,
2006.

This
TSD
contains
a
detail
discussion
and
summary
of
the
review
conducted
by
EPA
for,
where
applicable,
the
2002
base
year
inventory
annual
emissions
for
VOC,
NOx,
CO,
PM2.5,
PM10,
NH3
and
SO2;
VOC,
NOx
and
CO
summertime
daily
emissions
for
ozone
nonattainment
areas,
and
CO
wintertime
daily
emissions
are
provided
for
CO
nonattainment
areas.

A.
Details
on
How
New
Jersey
Meets
Criteria
1
for
the
Quality
Assurance
Plan
Quality
Assurance
Plan
Implementation
The
Quality
Assurance
(
QA)
plan
was
implemented
for
all
portions
of
the
inventory.
The
QA
plan
included
a
QA/
Quality
control
(
QC)
program
for
assessing
data
completeness
and
standard
range
checking.
Critical
data
elements
relative
to
the
inventory
sources
were
assessed
for
completeness.
QA
checks
were
performed
relative
to
data
collection
and
analysis,
and
double
counting
of
emissions
from
point,
area
and
mobile
sources.
QA/
QC
checks
were
conducted
to
ensure
accuracy
of
units,
unit
conversions,
transposition
of
figures,
and
calculations.
The
QA
7
plan
for
the
inventory
was
performed
in
accordance
with
section
6.0
of
Emission
Inventory
Guidance
for
Implementation
of
ozone
and
Particulate
Matter
NAAQS
and
Regional
Haze
Regulation,
dated
August
2005.

B.
Details
on
How
New
Jersey
Meets
Criteria
2
and
3
for
the
Point
Source
Inventory
Point
Source
Inventory
New
Jersey's
inventory
includes
major
point
sources
based
on
the
following
thresholds
for
each
pollutant:
tons
per
year
(
tpy)
or
more
for
VOC;
25
tpy
or
more
of
NOx,
and
100
tpy
or
more
of
CO,
PM2.5,
PM10,
NH3
and
SO2.
The
inventory
report
describes
how
point
source
activity
levels
and
their
associated
parameters
were
developed,
and
how
the
data
were
used
to
calculate
emission
estimates.
The
report
provides
referenced
documents
for
activity
level
and
emission
factors
used.
Information
on
how
rule
effectiveness
and
control
efficiencies
were
derived
(
with
the
associated
sample
calculations)
are
also
provided.
Plant
summary
information
on
detailed,
plant,
county
and
nonattainment
area
levels,
are
included
in
the
inventory.
Where
applicable,
annual
emissions
are
provided
for
VOC,
NOx,
CO,
PM2.5,
PM10,
NH3
and
SO2;
VOC,
NOx
and
CO
summertime
daily
emissions
are
provided
for
ozone
nonattainment
areas,
and
CO
wintertime
daily
emissions
are
provided
for
CO
nonattainment
areas.
The
inventory
was
developed
in
accordance
with
section
5.3
of
Emission
Inventory
Guidance
for
Implementation
of
ozone
and
Particulate
Matter
NAAQS
and
Regional
Haze
Regulation,
dated
August
2005.

C.
Details
on
How
New
Jersey
Meets
Criteria
4
and
5
for
the
Area
Source
Inventory
Area
Source
Inventory
The
inventory
lists
the
source
categories
that
are
included
in
(
and
excluded
from)
from
the
area
source
inventory.
The
inventory
documentation
includes
emissions
factors,
activity
levels,
seasonal
adjustment
factors,
and
sample
calculations.
Referenced
information
for
the
input
values
to
equations
are
included.
Point
source
contributions
have
been
correctly
factored
out
of
the
area
source
category
totals
where
appropriate.
Rule
effectiveness,
control
efficiency
and
rule
penetration
were
correctly
applied
for
several
source
categories
and
a
discussion
as
to
the
basis
for
application
is
provided.
Area
source
emissions
are
presented
on
a
source
category,
county
basis.
Where
applicable,
annual
emissions
are
provided
for
VOC,
NOx,
CO,
PM2.5,
PM10,
NH3
and
SO2;
VOC,
NOx
and
CO
summertime
daily
emissions
are
provided
for
ozone
nonattainment
areas,
and
CO
wintertime
daily
emissions
are
provided
for
CO
nonattainment
areas.
The
inventory
was
developed
in
accordance
with
section
5.4
of
Emission
Inventory
Guidance
for
Implementation
of
ozone
and
Particulate
Matter
NAAQS
and
Regional
Haze
Regulation,
dated
August
2005.

D.
Details
on
How
New
Jersey
Meets
Criterion
6
for
the
Biogenic
Source
Inventory
Biogenic
Source
Inventory
8
EPA's
Biogenic
Emission
Inventory
System
Model
version
3.12
was
used
to
estimate
VOC,
NOx
and
CO
emissions.
Information
and
key
assumptions
regarding
the
modeled
day
selected,
meteorological
inputs
and
referenced
data,
are
included.
The
biogenic
emissions
are
presented
on
county
level.
Where,
applicable,
annual
emissions
and
summertime
daily
emissions
are
provided
for
VOC,
NOx,
and
CO.
The
inventory
was
developed
in
accordance
with
section
5.6
of
Emission
Inventory
Guidance
for
Implementation
of
ozone
and
Particulate
Matter
NAAQS
and
Regional
Haze
Regulation,
dated
August
2005.

E.
Details
on
How
New
Jersey
Meets
Criteria
7
for
Non
Road
Mobile
Source
Inventory
Nonroad
Mobile
Source
Inventory
For
the
New
Jersey,
the
predominant
non­
road
mobile
source
categories
(
i.
e.,
agricultural
equipment,
construction
equipment,
industrial
equipment,
airport
service
equipment,
light
commercial
equipment,
lawn
and
garden
equipment...
etc.)
were
developed
by
the
Nonroad
Emissions
Equipment
Model
version
2.3(
c)
released
by
EPA's
Office
of
Transportation
and
Air
Quality
(
OTAQ).
Nonroad
mobile
source
emissions
are
presented
on
a
source
category,
county
basis.
Where
applicable,
annual
emissions
are
provided
for
VOC,
NOx,
CO,
PM2.5,
PM10,
NH3
and
SO2;
VOC,
NOx
and
CO
summertime
daily
emissions
are
provided
for
ozone
nonattainment
areas,
and
CO
wintertime
daily
emissions
are
provided
for
CO
nonattainment
areas.
The
inventory
was
developed
in
accordance
with
section
5.5.2
of
Emission
Inventory
Guidance
for
Implementation
of
ozone
and
Particulate
Matter
NAAQS
and
Regional
Haze
Regulation,
dated
August
2005.

Aircraft
Emissions
Aircraft
emissions
for
are
provided
for
VOC,
NOx,
CO,
PM2.5,
PM10
and
SO2
were
calculated
based
on
the
number
of
landing
and
takeoffs
(
LTO)
cycles
generated
at
each
airport.
These
values
were
used
as
inputs
to
the
Emissions
and
Dispersion
Modeling
System,
the
Federal
Aviation
Agency
modeling
tool.
Aircraft
source
emissions
are
presented
on
a
source
category,
county
basis.
Where
applicable,
annual
emissions
are
provided
for
VOC,
NOx,
CO,
PM2.5,
PM10
and
SO2;
VOC,
NOx
and
CO
summertime
daily
emissions
are
provided
for
ozone
nonattainment
areas,
and
CO
wintertime
daily
emissions
are
provided
for
CO
nonattainment
areas.
The
inventory
was
developed
in
accordance
with
section
5.5.2
of
Emission
Inventory
Guidance
for
Implementation
of
ozone
and
Particulate
Matter
NAAQS
and
Regional
Haze
Regulation,
dated
August
2005.

Locomotive
Emissions
Locomotives
emissions
for
VOC,
NOx,
CO,
PM2.5,
PM10
and
SO2
were
calculated
based
on
the
estimated
fuel
consumption
or
individual
railroad
systems
operating
in
New
Jersey.
NJDEP
received
specific
fuel
use
data
from
shortline
freight
and
commuter
railroads.
An
estimation
of
fuel
consumption
based
on
gross
ton
miles
and
fuel
consumption
indexes
were
prepared
for
those
railroads
that
did
not
submit
statewide
fuel
data.
Locomotive
source
emissions
are
presented
on
a
source
category,
county
basis.
Where
applicable,
annual
emissions
are
provided
for
VOC,
NOx,
CO,
PM2.5,
PM10
and
SO2;
VOC,
NOx
and
CO
summertime
daily
emissions
are
9
provided
for
ozone
nonattainment
areas,
and
CO
wintertime
daily
emissions
are
provided
for
CO
nonattainment
areas.
The
inventory
was
developed
in
accordance
with
section
5.5.2
of
Emission
Inventory
Guidance
for
Implementation
of
ozone
and
Particulate
Matter
NAAQS
and
Regional
Haze
Regulation,
dated
August
2005.

Commercial
Marine
Vessel
Emissions
Commercial
marine
vessel
(
CMV)
emissions
for
VOC,
NOx,
CO,
PM2.5,
PM10
and
SO2
for
Northern
New
Jersey
were
taken
from
the
CMV
emissions
inventory
report
prepared
by
Starcrest
Consulting
Group,
LLC.
The
inventory
report
relied
on
actual
operational
data
and
then
used
local
activity
parameters
to
extend
emission
estimates
to
those
portions
of
the
CMV
not
directly
inventoried.
From
this
information,
emission
estimates
were
prepared
based
on
estimated
horsepower
demand.
CMV
emissions
for
Southern
New
Jersey
were
estimated
using
fuel
purchases
for
diesel
and
residual
fuels
and
the
number
of
trips
of
self­
propelled
vessels
along
the
Delaware
River.
Emissions
on
the
Delaware
river
were
allocated
based
on
an
allocation
process
agreed
to
by
the
two
States.
CMV
source
emissions
are
presented
on
a
source
category,
county
basis.
Where
applicable,
annual
emissions
are
provided
for
VOC,
NOx,
CO,
PM2.5,
PM10
and
SO2;
VOC,
NOx
and
CO
summertime
daily
emissions
are
provided
for
ozone
nonattainment
areas,
and
CO
wintertime
daily
emissions
are
provided
for
CO
nonattainment
areas.
The
inventory
was
developed
in
accordance
with
section
5.5.2
of
Emission
Inventory
Guidance
for
Implementation
of
ozone
and
Particulate
Matter
NAAQS
and
Regional
Haze
Regulation,
dated
August
2005.

F.
Details
on
How
New
Jersey
Meets
Criteria
8
and
9
for
the
Onroad
Source
Inventory
Onroad
Mobile
Source
Inventory
New
Jersey's
mobile
source
inventory
was
developed
by
using
the
travel
demand
model
(
TDM)
used
by
the
three
Metropolitan
Planning
Organizations
in
the
States
as
the
basis
for
estimating
actual
county
level
and
functional
class
vehicle
miles
traveled
(
VMT)
estimates.
In
addition,
county
VMT
were
supplemented
by
the
use
of
measured
VMT
that
was
not
accounted
for
in
the
model,
such
as
reductions
due
to
transportation
control
measures
or
increases
due
to
local
roadway
traffic.
Estimates
were
developed
from
the
aforementioned
sources
for
each
roadway
functional
class,
by
county,
in
each
of
the
ozone
attainment
and
nonattainment
areas
within
the
State.

Mobile
6.2.03
Model
was
officially
released
by
EPA
on
May
19,
2004
(
69
FR28839)
for
VOC,
NOx,
CO,
PM2.5,
PM10
and
SO2,
was
used
to
generate
emission
factors
for
on­
road
vehicle
emission
estimates.
The
breakdown
of
emissions
to
the
highway
vehicle
classifications
have
been
provided
for
in
the
inventory.
The
methods
used
to
determine
on­
road
emission
estimates
are
explained
in
the
report.
The
report
also
explains
how
Mobile
6.2.03
emission
factors
were
used,
in
conjunction
with
VMT
data,
to
estimate
mobile
source
emissions
for
the
inventoried
areas.
It
provides
the
sources
for
the
key
inputs
into
the
mobile
model.
Key
assumptions
are
also
included.
The
VOC,
NOx,
CO,
PM2.5,
PM10,
NH3
and
SO2
mobile
emissions
are
10
presented
on
county
level.
Where
applicable,
annual
emissions
are
provided
for
VOC,
NOx,
CO,
PM2.5,
PM10
and
SO2;
VOC,
NOx
and
CO
summertime
daily
emissions
are
provided
for
ozone
nonattainment
areas,
and
CO
wintertime
daily
emissions
are
provided
for
CO
nonattainment
areas.
The
inventory
was
developed
in
accordance
with
section
5.5.1
of
Emission
Inventory
Guidance
for
Implementation
of
ozone
and
Particulate
Matter
NAAQS
and
Regional
Haze
Regulation,
dated
August
2005.

Conclusion
New
Jersey
has
a
SIP
that
will
ensure
that
the
requirements
of
for
emission
inventory
measures
and
reporting
are
adequately
met.
To
comply
with
the
emission
inventory
requirements,
the
State
submitted
a
complete
inventory
containing
point,
area,
biogenic,
on­
road,
and
non­
road
mobile
source
data,
and
accompanying
documentation.

The
SIP
submittal
does
not
present
any
particular
inconvenient
issues
associated
with
enforceability.

Recommendation
EPA
is
approving
this
SIP
submittal
as
meeting
the
essential
reporting
requirements
for
an
Emission
Inventory.
EPA
will
also
make
a
finding
that
the
SIP
revision
meets
the
requirements
for
emission
inventories.
11
SECTION
2
Carbon
Monoxide
Limited
Maintenance
Plan
Attainment
Inventory
for
the
Nine
Not
Classified
Areas
and
Camden
County
12
I.
PREFACE
This
document
is
to
support
EPA's
approval
of
a
revision
to
the
New
Jersey
State
Implementation
Plan
(
SIP)
which
pertains
to
the
following:

1.
Where
applicable,
2002
base
year
inventory
annual
emissions
for
VOC,
NOx,
CO,
PM2.5,
PM10,
NH3
and
SO2;
VOC,
NOx
and
CO
summertime
daily
emissions
for
ozone
nonattainment
areas,
and
CO
wintertime
daily
emissions
for
CO
nonattainment
areas,

2.
The
Carbon
Monoxide
Limited
Maintenance
Plan
Attainment
Inventory
for
the
Nine
Not
Classified
Areas
and
Camden
County
and,

3.
The
2009
PM2.5
and
NOx
Annual
Projected
Emission
Inventory
Budget
Demonstration
for
the
New
Jersey
Portion
of
the
New
York/
New
Jersey/
Long
Island/
Connecticut
This
TSD
contains
a
detailed
review
of
New
Jersey's
CO
Attainment
Inventory
submittal.
Among
the
topics
discussed
below
are
the
recent
history
and
criteria
for
approval
and
EPA's
final
recommendations.

II.
BACKGROUND
2002
CO
Attainment
Year
Inventory
Page
3,
of
the
October
6,
1995­
memorandum
from
Joseph
W.
Paisie,
Group
Leader,
Integrated
Policy
and
Strategies
Group
to
Regional
Air
Branch
Chiefs
entitled
"
Limited
Maintenance
Plan
Options
for
non
classifiable
CO
Nonattainment
Areas,"
states
that
for
inventory
purposes,
the
State
is
only
required
to
submit
an
attainment
inventory
to
EPA
that
is
based
on
monitoring
data
which
shows
attainment.
There
is
no
requirement
to
project
emissions
over
the
maintenance
period.
This
means
if
2002
is
a
calendar
which
has
monitoring
data
which
demonstrates
attainment,
the
2002
periodic
base
year
inventory
can
be
used
as
the
attainment
year
inventory
and
no
projection
inventories
are
required
over
the
years
of
the
maintenance
period.
Only
calendar
year
2002
summary
emissions
data
(
based
on
typical
winter
season
day)
are
required.
In
addition,
this
inventory
should
be
consistent
with
EPA's
most
recent
guidance
on
emission
inventories
for
nonattainment
areas
available
at
the
time
and
should
include
emissions
during
the
time
period
associated
with
the
monitoring
data
showing
attainment.

New
Jersey
submitted
a
limited
maintenance
plan
(
LMP)
which
included
calendar
year
2002
emissions
inventory.
The
2002
emissions
inventory
is
also
classified
as
the
attainment
year
inventory
for
the
LMP.
New
Jersey
has
elected
2002
because
it
is
the
attainment
year
base
year
that
will
be
used
for
LMP
and
2002
represents
the
one
of
the
years
of
violation
free
monitored
data
in
the
area.
The
inventory
included
peak
wintertime
daily
emissions
from
stationary
point,
stationary
area,
off­
highway
mobile,
and
highway
mobile
sources
of
CO.
These
emission
estimates
were
prepared
in
accordance
with
EPA
guidance.
EPA
is
approving
the
CO
inventory
for
the
counties
of
Atlantic,
Burlington,
Mercer,
Middlesex,
Monmouth,
Morris,
Ocean,
Salem
13
and
Somerset
(
the
9
non­
classified
areas)
and
Camden
County.
Details
of
the
inventory
review
are
located
in
the
periodic
inventory
(
section
1)
of
this
TSD.

New
Jersey
submitted
drafts
of
the
SIP
and
comments
to
Region
2
for
the
aforementioned
documents
on
February
22,
2004,
February
21,
October
12
and
July
25,
2005,
and
January
1,
2006.

Region
II
conducted
reviews
on
the
2002
base
year
inventory,
CO
Attainment
Inventory
and
the
2009
PM2.5
and
NOx
Annual
Projected
Emission
Inventory
Budget
Demonstration
and
provided
written
responses
to
New
Jersey
on
February
22,
2004;
April
4,
May
19,
May
23
and
August
18,
2005
and
January
30
and
March
27,
2006.

On
February
21,
2006,
New
Jersey
submitted
a
proposed
SIP
revision
for
Fine
Particulate
Matter
Transportation
Conformity
Budget
for
the
New
Jersey
Portion
of
the
New
York/
New
Jersey/
Long
Island/
Connecticut
nonattainment
Area.
New
Jersey
is
proposing
to
establish
early
transportation
conformity
emission
budgets
for
directly
emitted
annual
fine
particulate
matter
(
direct
PM2.5)
and
annual
NOx
(
a
PM2.5
precursor)
for
the
New
Jersey
portion
of
the
New
York/
New
Jersey/
Long
Island/
Connecticut
PM2.5
nonattainment
area.
EPA
is
allowing
areas
to
establish
early
budgets
as
an
alternative
to
other
interim
conformity
tests
prior
to
submittal
of
the
PM2.5
attainment
demonstration
in
April
2008.
To
establish
an
early
budget,
an
area
must
meet
certain
criteria
defined
by
EPA.
The
New
Jersey
portion
of
the
New
York/
New
Jersey/
Long
Island/
Connecticut
PM2.5
nonattainment
area
meets
the
criteria.

III.
EPA
RECOMMENDATIONS
EPA
is
approving
the
CO
inventory
for
the
counties
of
Atlantic,
Burlington,
Mercer,
Middlesex,
Monmouth,
Morris,
Ocean,
Salem
and
Somerset
(
the
9
non­
classified
areas)
and
Camden
County.
A
more
detailed
discussion
of
how
the
emission
inventory
was
reviewed
and
the
results
are
presented
in
Section
1
of
the
technical
support
document
(
TSD).

The
following
tables
presents
a
summary
of
the
2002
CO
winter
season
daily
emissions
estimates
in
tons
per
winter
day
for
the
nine
not
classified
areas
and
Camden
County:
14
2002
Attainment
Inventory
Nine
Not
Classified
Areas
Carbon
Monoxide
Emission
Inventory
(
Tons/
Peak
Winter
Season
Day)

County
Point
Area
Off­
Highway
Mobile
Highway
Mobile
Total
ATLANTIC
0.48
62.98
21.57
153.15
238.18
BURLINGTON
1.42
59.62
54.00
308.90
423.94
MERCER
1.46
14.32
43.01
224.90
283.69
MIDDLESEX
8.27
6.34
107.85
531.04
653.50
MONMOUTH
0.72
30.42
78.43
423.04
532.61
MORRIS
1.23
46.59
97.30
393.14
538.26
OCEAN
1.11
47.69
40.31
257.31
346.42
SALEM
2.21
13.72
6.97
50.24
73.14
SOMERSET
1.17
11.65
47.55
211.93
272.30
NINE
NOT
CLASSIFIED
AREAS
TOTAL
18.07
293.33
496.99
2,553.65
3,362.04
15
2002
Attainment
Inventory
Camden
County
Carbon
Monoxide
Emission
Inventory
(
Tons/
Peak
Winter
Season
Day)

County
Point
Area
Off­
Highway
Mobile
Highway
Mobile
CAMDEN
3.30
18.42
53.39
269.10
16
SECTION
3
PM2.5
and
NOx
Annual
Emission
Inventory
Budget
Demonstration
for
the
New
Jersey
Portion
of
the
New
York/
New
Jersey/
Long
Island/
Connecticut
PM2.5
Nonattainment
area
17
I.
PM2.5
General
Background
Designation
of
PM2.5
Nonattainment
Areas
in
New
Jersey
EPA
issued
final
area
designations
for
PM2.5
on
December
17,
2004.
The
following
10
counties
are
classified
as
PM2.5
nonattainment
in
the
New
Jersey
portion
of
the
New
York/
New
Jersey/
Long
Island/
Connecticut
PM2.5
nonattainment
area:
Bergen,
Essex,
Hudson,
Mercer,
Middlesex
Monmouth,
Morris,
Passaic,
Somerset
and
Union.
Designations
became
effective
on
April
5,
2005.
Transportation
conformity
for
PM2.5
becomes
effective
on
April
5,
2006.
This
is
because
there
is
a
one­
year
grace
period
from
the
effective
date
of
designations
before
transportation
conformity
applies
for
that
standard.

States
with
designated
PM2.5
nonattainment
areas
are
required
to
develop
a
SIP
and
submit
it
to
EPA
within
three
years
of
designation
or
April
of
2008.
This
plan
must
include
enforceable
measures
for
reducing
air
pollutant
emissions
leading
to
the
formation
of
fine
particles
in
the
atmosphere.
The
plan
must
also
provide
steps
for
the
area
to
attain
the
PM2.5
standard
as
quickly
as
possible.
EPA
has
recently
issued
a
proposed
PM2.5
implementation
rule
to
provide
further
guidance
on
what
should
be
included
in
PM2.5
plans.
State
plans
need
to
demonstrate
that
the
nonattainment
area
will
attain
the
standards
"
as
expeditiously
as
practicable."

II.
Transportation
Conformity
Requirements
for
PM2.5
The
Transportation
Conformity
Rules
that
established
the
criteria
and
procedures
relating
to
transportation
conformity
for
PM2.5
were
promulgated
by
EPA
on
July
1,
2004.
Before
a
SIP
budget
is
available,
through
either
an
adequacy
finding
or
approval
by
EPA,
conformity
of
the
transportation
plan,
transportation
improvement
program,
or
project
not
from
a
conforming
plan
is
demonstrated
with
the
interim
emissions
tests.
The
interim
emissions
tests
for
PM2.5
are
either
the
baseline
year
test
or
the
build/
no­
greater­
than­
no­
build
test.

Four
transportation
related
PM2.5
precursors
­
NOx,
VOCs,
SOx,
and
NH3
­
must
be
considered
in
the
conformity
process
in
PM2.5
nonattainment
areas.
EPA
requirements
for
the
consideration
of
PM2.5
precursors
are:

Regional
emissions
analysis
must
include
NOx
as
a
PM2.5
precursor
in
all
PM2.5
nonattainment
areas,
unless
the
head
of
the
state
air
agency
and
EPA
Regional
Administrator
make
a
finding
that
NOx
is
not
a
significant
contributor
to
the
PM2.5
air
quality
problem
in
a
given
area.

Regional
emissions
analyses
are
not
required
for
VOC,
SOx
or
NH3
before
an
approved
SIP
budget
for
such
precursors
is
established,
unless
the
head
of
the
state
air
agency
or
EPA
Regional
Administrator
makes
a
finding
that
onroad
emissions
of
any
of
these
precursors
is
a
significant
contributor.
18
Progress
Toward
Attainment
Requirement
To
establish
an
early
PM2.5
budget,
the
EPA
requires
that:

In
reference
to
the
voluntary
SIP
that
includes
early
budgets,
the
preamble
states:
"
To
be
approvable,
such
a
SIP
would
have
to
include
inventories
for
all
source
sectors
and
meet
other
SIP
requirements.
While
these
early
SIPs
would
have
to
show
some
progress
toward
attainment,
it
is
not
a
requirement
that
all
of
the
reductions
would
come
from
onroad
mobile
vehicles."

The
term
"
some
progress
toward
attainment"
has
been
interpreted
by
EPA
to
mean
that
the
future
inventories
(
which
includes
point,
area,
nonroad
mobile
and
onroad
mobile
sources)
for
direct
PM2.5
and
annual
NOx
to
be
less
than
the
base
year
values
by
at
least
five
to
ten
percent.
Annual
NOx
is
the
only
PM2.5
precursor
for
which
a
budget
is
being
established
at
this
time.
The
additional
information
and
data
on
PM2.5
precursors
that
will
be
available
during
the
preparation
of
the
PM2.5
attainment
demonstration
may
result
in
the
establishment
of
budgets
for
additional
or
different
specific
precursors.

The
"
progress
toward
attainment"
test
is
passed
when
the
total
overall
future
emissions
for
direct
PM2.5
and
annual
NOx
are
less
than
the
total
overall
2002
base
year
values
by
at
least
five
to
ten
percent.

III.
EPA's
review
and
Evaluation
of
New
Jersey
Submittal
New
Jersey
submitted
drafts
of
the
SIP
and
comments
to
Region
2
for
the
following
documents
on
February
22,
2004,
February
21,
October
12
and
July
25,
2005,
and
January
1,
2006
for
the
following
program
area
elements:

1.
Where
applicable,
2002
base
year
inventory
annual
emissions
for
VOC,
NOx,
CO,
PM2.5,
PM10,
NH3
and
SO2;
VOC,
NOx
and
CO
summertime
daily
emissions
for
ozone
nonattainment
areas,
and
CO
wintertime
daily
emissions
for
CO
nonattainment
areas,

2.
The
Carbon
Monoxide
Limited
Maintenance
Plan
Attainment
Inventory
for
the
Nine
Not
Classified
Areas
and
Camden
County
and
3.
The
2009
PM2.5
and
NOx
Annual
Projected
Emission
Inventory
Budget
Demonstration
for
the
New
Jersey
Portion
of
the
New
York/
New
Jersey/
Long
Island/
Connecticut
Region
II
conducted
reviews
on
the
2002
base
year
inventory,
CO
Attainment
Inventory
and
the
2009
PM2.5
and
NOx
Annual
Projected
Emission
Inventory
Budget
Demonstration
and
provided
written
responses
to
New
Jersey
on
February
22,
2004;
April
4,
May
19,
May
23
and
August
18,
2005
and
January
30
and
March
27,
2006.
19
This
TSD
contains
a
detail
discussion
and
summary
of
the
review
conducted
by
EPA
for,
where
applicable,
the
2009
PM2.5
and
NOx
Annual
Projected
Emission
Inventory
Budget
Demonstration
for
the
New
Jersey
Portion
of
the
New
York/
New
Jersey/
Long
Island/
Connecticut
On
February
21,
2006,
New
Jersey
submitted
a
proposed
SIP
revision
for
Fine
Particulate
Matter
Transportation
Conformity
Budget
for
the
New
Jersey
Portion
of
the
New
York/
New
Jersey/
Long
Island/
Connecticut
nonattainment
Area.
New
Jersey
is
proposing
to
establish
early
transportation
conformity
emission
budgets
for
directly
emitted
annual
fine
particulate
matter
(
direct
PM2.5)
and
annual
NOx
(
a
PM2.5
precursor)
for
the
New
Jersey
portion
of
the
New
York/
New
Jersey/
Long
Island/
Connecticut
PM2.5
nonattainment
area.
EPA
is
allowing
areas
to
establish
early
budgets
as
an
alternative
to
other
interim
conformity
tests
prior
to
submittal
of
the
PM2.5
attainment
demonstration
in
April
2008.
To
establish
an
early
budget,
an
area
must
meet
certain
criteria
defined
by
EPA.
The
New
Jersey
portion
of
the
New
York/
New
Jersey/
Long
Island/
Connecticut
PM2.5
nonattainment
area
meets
the
criteria.

IV.
Particulate
Matter
Budget
for
the
New
Jersey
Portion
of
the
New
York/
New
Jersey/
Long
Island/
Connecticut
Nonattainment
Area.

The
establishment
of
early
PM2.5
budgets
is
to
require
their
use
by
the
Metropolitan
Planning
Organizations
in
their
transportation
conformity
determinations
during
the
interim
period
prior
to
the
PM2.5
attainment
demonstration
SIP
budgets.
Establishment
of
these
early
transportation
conformity
emission
budgets
will
enable
the
affected
Metropolitan
Planning
Organizations
to
demonstrate
transportation
conformity
by
the
preferred
method
of
remaining
below
area
specific
emission
budgets
instead
of
using
one
of
the
interim
emissions
tests.
The
early
budgets
are
based
on
direct
PM2.5
and
annual
NOx
inventories
that
demonstrate
that
for
the
future
year
(
in
this
case
2009)
overall
inventory
(
which
includes
point,
area,
nonroad
mobile
and
onroad
mobile
sources)
there
is
at
least
a
five
to
ten
percent
reduction
of
emissions
in
comparison
to
the
2002
overall
base
year
inventory
in
the
New
Jersey
portion
of
the
New
York
/
New
Jersey/
Long
Island/
Connecticut
nonattainment
area.

The
early
budgets
must
be
used
for
future
transportation
conformity
determinations
by
the
North
Jersey
Transportation
Planning
Authority
and
the
Delaware
Valley
Regional
Planning
Commission
once
approved
by
EPA.
The
North
Jersey
Transportation
Planning
Authority
and
the
Delaware
Valley
Regional
Planning
Commission
are
two
of
the
three
Metropolitan
Planning
Organizations
that
cover
the
State
of
New
Jersey.

2002
Base
Year
Inventory
The
following
tables
present
a
summary
of
the
PM2.5
and
NOx
annual
emission
estimates
for
the
New
Jersey
portion
of
the
New
York/
New
Jersey/
Long
Island/
Connecticut
PM2.5
nonattainment
area:
20
2002
Annual
PM2.5
Base
Year
Inventory
the
New
Jersey
Portion
of
the
New
York/
New
Jersey/
Long
Island/
Connecticut
PM2.5
Nonattainment
Area
(
in
Tons/
Year)

County
Point
Area
Off­
Highway
Mobile
Highway
Mobile
BERGEN
149
537
478
376
ESSEX
185
411
393
291
HUDSON
1,077
269
345
134
MERCER
188
530
203
141
MIDDLESEX
483
467
346
347
MONMOUTH
55
981
501
244
MORRIS
39
1,284
280
209
PASSAIC
19
543
178
141
SOMERSET
55
441
149
152
UNION
540
272
333
185
TOTAL
2,790
5,736
2,788
2,200
21
2002
Annual
NOx
Base
Year
Inventory
the
New
Jersey
Portion
of
the
New
York/
New
Jersey/
Long
Island/
Connecticut
PM2.5
Nonattainment
Area
(
in
Tons/
Year)

County
Point
Area
Off­
Highway
Mobile
Highway
Mobile
BERGEN
988
2,815
6,707
23,917
ESSEX
2,441
2,436
8,137
16,537
HUDSON
9,674
1,735
5,976
7,853
MERCER
13,034
1,257
2,427
8,505
MIDDLESEX
3,567
2,343
4,849
22,147
MONMOUTH
240
1,806
4,316
14,860
MORRIS
284
1,752
3,151
13,758
PASSAIC
122
1,361
2,413
8,748
SOMERSET
313
1,048
2,097
9,090
UNION
3,757
1,621
5,883
12,294
TOTAL
34,420
18,173
45,957
137,701
22
2009
Projection
Year
Inventory
New
Jersey
included
in
its
submittal
the
2009
projection
year
inventories
with
post­
2002
controls
showing
that
future
emissions
will
be
less
than
5
percent
of
those
contained
in
the
2002
base
year
emissions
inventory.
The
State
projected
point,
area,
nonroad
mobile
and
onroad
mobile
source
emissions
for
the
nonattainment
area
from
2002
to
2009.
They
did
so
using
the
appropriate
growth
factors
and
methodologies,
in
a
manner
acceptable
to
EPA.

The
development
of
the
projection
year
inventory
involved
several
methodologies
depending
on
the
source
category
in
question.
This
depended
heavily
upon
what
type
of
indicator
was
considered
to
have
a
significant
impact
on
emissions.
In
all
cases
mentioned
below
the
2002
emission
inventory
was
grown
to
2009
projection
year:

1.
Major
point
sources
were
grown
using
growth
factors
from
EPA
EGAS
version
4.0
for
all
point
sources
except
those
that
combust
fuel.
For
combustion
sources,
projection
data
were
obtained
from
the
Annual
Energy
Outlook
2004
report
produced
by
the
US
Department
of
Energy's
(
DOE)
Energy
Information
Administration
(
EIA).
Point
source
growth
factors
by
SCC
category
are
presented
in
Attachment
I­
A
of
the
New
Jersey
SIP
document.
Controls
were
applied
to
sources
that
were
included
in
the
emission
statement
program
developed
for
the
2002
base
year.
This
means
any
new
controls
after
2002
were
not
applied.
This
approach
was
taken
so
that
2009
projection
inventories
would
represent
a
conservatively
high
case
and
calculated
percent
reductions
between
2002
and
2009
would
be
conservatively
low.
However
consider
was
taken
for
sources
that
were
retired.

2.
Area
sources
were
grown
using
growth
factors
from
EPA
EGAS
version
4.0
for
all
area
sources
except
those
that
combust
fuel.
For
combustion
sources,
projection
data
were
obtained
from
the
Annual
Energy
Outlook
2003
report
produced
by
the
DOE­
EIA.
Area
source
growth
factors
by
are
presented
in
Attachment
I­
B
of
the
New
Jersey
SIP
document.
Data
projections
using
activity
data
such
as
fuel
consumption
were
obtained
from
DOE­
EIA;
employment
activity
from
New
Jersey
Division
of
Labor
Employment
Projections
for
employment
activity;
NJDOT
for
VMT
and
lane
miles
traveled
and
human
population;
activity
data
for
were
also
obtained
from
the
Asphalt
Institute
and
the
NJDEP
Bureau
of
Pesticides
Operations
for
those
specific
SCC
categories
dealing
with
Asphalt
and
Pesticide
Applications.
Controls
were
not
applied
to
area
sources.

3.
Off­
highway
mobile
source
emissions
were
developed
by
conducting
independent
runs
for2009
emission
inventories
by
using
the
NONROAD
4
model.
Aircraft
emissions
were
developed
for
2002
using
landings
and
take
offs
operation
numbers
for
each
aircraft
type
into
the
Emissions
and
Dispersion
Modeling
Systems
for
NOx
emissions
and
PM2.5
emission
factors
were
used
with
LTO
data
to
estimate
PM2.5
annual
emissions.
Growth
factors
from
FAA
database
based
on
future
flight
operations
divided
2002
operations
were
used
to
project
emissions
from
2002
to
23
2009.
Calendar
year
2002
locomotive
emissions
were
not
projected
because
it
is
assumed
the
emissions
will
not
increase
in
the
future.
For
Commercial
Marine
Vessels
(
CMV),
emissions
were
grown
from
2002­
2009
based
on
an
extensive
review
of
historical
trends
in
the
different
types
CMV
calling
in
on
the
Northern
NJ
parts
to
project
CMV
growth.
This
information
was
obtained
from
the
Maritime
Association
of
the
port
of
New
York
and
New
Jersey.

4.
Calendar
year
2009
highway
mobile
source
emission
factor
data
were
generated
from
Mobile
6.2.03
Model.
Emission
factors
from
the
Model
were
then
applied
to
actual
and
projected
vehicle
miles
traveled
(
VMT)
based
and
fleet
distribution
data
based
on
annual
or
projection
measurements
of
VMT
taken
from
the
Transportation
Demand
Model
and
Highway
Performance
Monitoring
System
from
the
North
Jersey
Transportation
Planning
Authority
and
Delaware
Valley
Regional
Planning
Commission.

EPA
finds
the
methodologies
for
all
sources
to
be
acceptable
for
maintenance
plan
purposes.
The
table
below
presents
a
summary
of
2009
annual
PM2.5
and
NOx
emissions
in
the
New
Jersey
portion
of
the
New
York/
New
Jersey/
Long
Island/
Connecticut
PM2.5
nonattainment
area.

How
New
Jersey
Demonstrates
it
Meets
the
Budget
The
following
table
includes
information
which
compares
calendar
years
2002
and
2009
emission
inventories
for
the
New
Jersey
portion
of
the
New
York/
New
Jersey/
Long
Island/
Connecticut
PM2.5
nonattainment
area.
The
"
progress
toward
attainment"
test
is
passed
when
the
total
overall
future
emissions
for
direct
PM2.5
and
annual
NOx
are
less
than
the
total
overall
2002
base
year
values
by
at
least
five
to
ten
percent.
For
PM2.5,
the
2009
PM2.5
emissions
inventory
is
6.47
percent
lower
than
the
2002
base
year
emissions
value.
For
NOx,
the
2009
NOx
emissions
inventory
is
32.37
percent
lower
than
the
2002
base
year
emissions
value.
Both
future
emission
budgets
meet
the
five
percent
minimum
requirement.
The
budget
test
is
passed.
24
2002
versus
2009
Annual
PM2.5
Base
Year
Inventory
New
York/
New
Jersey/
Long
Island/
Connecticut
PM2.5
Nonattainment
area
(
in
Tons/
Year)

Calendar
Year
Point
Area
Off­
Highway
Mobile
Highway
Mobile
Total
2002
2,790
5,736
2,788
2,200
13,952
2009
3,035
5,930
2,788
1,296
13,049
25
2002
versus
2009
Annual
NOx
Base
Year
Inventory
New
York/
New
Jersey/
Long
Island/
Connecticut
PM2.5
Nonattainment
area
(
in
Tons/
Year)

Calendar
Year
Point
Area
Off­
Highway
Mobile
Highway
Mobile
Total
2002
34,420
18,173
45,957
137,701
236,551
2009
19,488
37,694
36,804
66,004
159,990
