MEMORANDUM
Eastern
Research
Group,
Inc.
110
Hartwell
Avenue
Lexington,
MA
02421
Date:
June
6,
2003
To:
James
Covington,
EPA
From:
Colleen
Campbell
and
Cal
Franz,
ERG
Re:
Community
Employment
Impact
Analysis
for
the
Meat
and
Poultry
Products
Industry
This
memorandum
presents
the
preliminary
community
impact
analysis
for
the
Meat
and
Poultry
Products
Effluent
Guideline.
This
analysis
is
based
on
April
11,
2003
survey
weights
provided
by
Westat,
and
the
May
27,
2003
cost
file
provided
by
Tetra
Tech.

The
previous
community
impact
analysis
using
costs
provided
by
Tetra
Tech
on
April
11,
2003
projected
one
company
level
closure
under
Option
4.
The
current
analysis
projects
the
same
company
will
close
under
Option
2
+
P
and
Option
2.5
+
P
as
well
as
Option
4.
The
community
employment
impacts
of
this
closure
were
analyzed
at
the
state,
county,
and
zip
code
level
using
Census 
1999
County
Business
Patterns
data.
1
The
economic
analysis
also
projected
seven
facility
level
closures
under
Option
4.
The
community
impact
analysis
is
not
presented
for
these
facilities,
however,
due
to
CBI
concerns.

Company
Level
Closure
The
company
projected
to
close
is
a
poultry
processor
with
approximately
3,000
to
4,000
employees.
All
facilities
owned
by
the
company
are
located
within
two
counties
in
the
same
state.
The
detailed
survey
database
provided
the
overall
company
level
employment
as
well
as
facility
level
employment
for
those
facilities
that
received
detailed
surveys.
Using
this
data,
ERG
estimated
employment
for
the
nonsurveyed
facilities.

Based
on
survey
employment
data
and
Census 
County
Business
Patterns
data,
ERG
estimated
that
the
company
projected
to
close
represents
the
following
percentage
of
total
employment
in
the
specified
regions:

C
0.13
percent
of
state
level
employment;
C
from
5.7
percent
to
7.6
percent
of
county
level
employment;
C
from
0.5
percent
to
80.5
percent
of
employment
at
the
zip
code
level.

1
U.
S.
Census
Bureau.
http://
censtats.
census.
gov/
cbpnaic/
cbpnaic.
shtml
1
