TABLE
1
CALCULATIONS
FOR
THE
AVAILABILITY
OF
BOILERMAKERS
FOR
CAIR
­
PHASE
I
&
II
ANALYSE
Case
No.
1
2
3
4
Description
CAIR
NPR
Proposal
CAIR
Phase
I
Policy
Case
(
Using
EPA
NPR
Assumptions
and
All
Available
Boilermaker
Sources)
CAIR
Phase
I
Policy
Case
(
Using
EIA
Electricity
Demand
and
Natural
Gas
Prices,
UARG
Boilermaker
Duty
Rates,
and
All
Available
Boilermaker
Sources)
CAIR
Phase
II
Policy
Case
(
Using
EIA
Electricity
Demand
and
Natural
Gas
Prices,
UARG
Boilermaker
Duty
Rates,
and
All
Available
Boilermaker
Sources)

Expected
date
for
final
CAIR
Rule
6/
30/
2005
3/
15/
2005
3/
15/
2005
3/
15/
2005
Expected
date
for
SIPs
to
be
available
12/
31/
2006
9/
15/
2006
9/
15/
2006
9/
15/
2006
Compliance
deadline,
Phase
I
1/
1/
2010
1/
1/
2010
1/
1/
2010
1/
1/
2010
Compliance
deadline,
Phase
II
1/
1/
2015
1/
1/
2015
1/
1/
2015
1/
1/
2015
Availability
of
Union
Boilermakers
Time
available
for
procuring
and
installing
controls,
years
3
3.25
3.25
5
Duration
of
boilermaker
activities
during
the
construction
schedule,
month
18
21.5
21.5
36
Projected
membership
of
International
Brotherhood
of
Boilermakers
28,000
26,000
26,000
26,000
Projected
percentage
of
boilermakers
available
for
controls
retrofits
35%
35%
35%
35%

Annual
hours
per
boilermaker,
hrs
2,000
2,000
2,000
2,000
Projected
number
of
boilermakers
available
for
controls
retrofit
9,800
9,100
9,100
9,100
Boilermaker
Requirements
for
Scrubbers:

Scrubbers
to
be
installed
for
CAIR,
GW
48.75
37
45.4
23.1
Scrubbers
to
be
installed
for
base
case,
GW
2.65
2.6
3.7
4.4
Total
scrubber
capacity
to
be
installed,
GW
51.4
39.6
49.1
27.5
Required
boilermaker
years/
MW
of
scrubbers
0.152
0.152
0.269
0.271
Boilermaker
years
required,
yrs
7,813
6,019
13,208
7,453
Boilermaker
Requirements
for
SCRs:

SCRs
to
be
installed
for
CAIR,
GW
23.9
18.2
20.6
21.1
SCRs
to
be
installed
for
base
case,
GW
4.3
5.7
4.6
5.5
Total
SCR
capacity
to
be
installed,
GW
28.2
23.9
25.2
26.6
Required
boilermaker
years/
MW
of
SCR
0.175
0.175
0.343
0.344
Boilermaker
years
required,
yrs
4,935
4,183
8,644
9,150
Boilermaker
Requirements
for
Wet
ESPs:

Total
Wet
ESPs
to
be
installed,
GW
41.66
48.75
27.76
Required
boilermaker
years/
MW
of
Wet
ESP
0.050
0.050
0.050
Boilermaker
years
required,
yrs
2,083
2,438
1,388
Boilermaker
Requirements
for
SNCRs:

SNCRs
to
be
installed
for
CAIR,
GW
0
0
0.2
0
SNCRs
to
be
installed
for
base
case,
GW
0
0.1
0
1.8
Total
SNCR
capacity
to
be
installed,
GW
0
0.1
0.2
1.8
Required
boilermaker
years/
MW
of
SNCR
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
Boilermaker
years
required,
yrs
0
1
2
17
Total
boilermaker
years
required,
yrs
12,748
12,286
24,291
18,007
Total
boilermaker
years
available
from
union
sources
14,700
16,304
16,304
27,300
Add'l
boilermaker
years
due
to
fewer
new
capacity
additions
(
see
Tables
2
and
3)
4617
4617
­
7674
Add'l
boilermaker
years
due
to
Canadian
sources
(
see
Tables
2
and
3)
1792
1792
3000
Add'l
boilermaker
years
due
to
non­
union
sources
(
see
Tables
2
and
3)
1,229
2,429
1,801
Total
boilermaker
years
available,
yrs
23,941
25,142
24,427
Existing
contingency
in
available
boilermaker
years,
%
95%
4%
36%

16
TABLE
2
ADDITIONAL
BOILERMAKER
LABOR
SOURCES
PHASE
I
IMPACT
Effect
of
New
Generation
Capacity
Addition
Compliance
deadline,
Phase
I
1/
1/
2010
New
Coal­
Fired
Plants
to
be
Added
During
CAIR
Construction:
Total
construction
period
during
which
boilermakers
are
used,
months
21.5
New
coal­
fired
power
plant
capacity
to
be
built
in
2007­
2010,
GW(
1)
0
New
or
repowered
combined
cycle
plants
to
be
built
in
2007­
2010,
GW
15.5
Capacity
of
new
coal
fired
power
plants
to
be
built
during
CAIR
period,
GW
0.0
No.
of
new
coal
fired
power
plants
built,
with
average
500
MW
size
0
Boilermaker
hours
required
per
500
MW
coal
plant,
hrs(
2)
500,000
Capacity
of
combined
cycle
plants
to
be
built
during
CAIR
period,
GW
9.2
No.
of
new
combined
cycle
plants
built,
with
average
250
MW
size
37
Boilermaker
hours
required
per
250
MW
combined
cycle
plant,
hrs(
2)
48,000
Total
boilermaker
hours
required
between
2007­
2010
1,774,467
Boilermaker
years
required
between
2007­
2010(
3)
887
SIP
Call
Experience
with
New
Combined
Cycle
Power
Plants:
Capacity
of
new
combined
cycle
plants
built
during
NOx
SIP
Call,
GW/
yr(
2)
32
Capacity
of
new
combined
cycle
plants
built
during
equivalent
CAIR
period,
GW
57
No.
of
new
combined
cycle
plants
built,
with
average
250
MW
size
229
Boilermaker
hours
required
per
250
MW
combined
cycle
plant,
hrs(
2)
48,000
Total
boilermaker
hours
used
during
SIP
Call
11,008,000
Boilermaker
years
used
during
SIP
Call
5,504
No.
of
additional
boilermaker
years
available
for
CAIR
4,617
Effect
of
Canadian
Labor
Availability
No.
of
Canadian
boilermakers
available
during
2003(
4)
1,300
No.
of
Canadian
boilermakers
assumed
to
be
available
during
CAIR(
4)
1,000
No.
of
boilermaker
years
available
for
CAIR
due
to
Canadian
labor
1,792
Effect
of
Non­
Union
Labor
Availability
%
of
projects
assumed
to
be
built
by
non­
union
boilermakers(
5)
10
Increase
in
the
available
boilermaker
years
for
CAIR(
6)
Note
6
NOTES
1.
New
coal­
fired
generation
capacity
addition
is
projected
to
be
negligible
during
2007­
2010,
by
both
EPA
and
EIA
(
see
"
Annual
Energy
Outlook
2005
(
Early
Release),
Tables
A9
and
9,
December
2004),
http://
www.
eia.
doe.
gov/
oiaf/
aeo/
index.
html.
Combined
cycle
capacity
is
based
on
EPA's
IPM
projections
(
see
IPM
Run
CAIR
2004_
EIA).
2.
Boilermaker
estimates
provided
by
UARG.
See
comments
to
the
NPR
proposal,
VII.
C­
1784
and
1786.
3.
Based
on
an
average
boilermaker
annual
hours
of
2,000
(
see
"
Boilermaker
Labor
Analysis
and
Installation
Timing",
CAIR
Docke
4.
Phone
conversations
with
International
Brotherhood
of
Boilermakers
(
see
"
Boilermaker
Labor
Analysis
and
Installation
Timing",
5.
Assumption
by
EPA,
based
on
the
number
of
projects
in
traditionally
non­
union
states
(
see
"
Boilermaker
Labor
Analysis
and
Ins
6.
This
increase
will
be
10%
of
the
boilermaker
years
required
for
each
case
(
see
Table
1)
7.
This
case
reflects
acceleration
of
the
Phase
I
compliance
deadline
by
one
year
for
both
NOx
and
SO2.
8.
This
case
reflects
acceleration
of
the
Phase
I
compliance
deadline
by
one
year
for
only
NOx.

17
TABLE
3
ADDITIONAL
BOILERMAKER
LABOR
SOURCES
PHASE
II
IMPACT(
1)

Effect
of
New
Generation
Capacity
Addition
Compliance
deadline,
Phase
I
1/
1/
2015
New
Coal­
Fired
Plants
to
be
Added
During
CAIR
Construction:
Total
construction
period
during
which
boilermakers
are
used,
months
36
New
coal­
fired
power
plant
capacity
to
be
built
in
2010­
2015,
GW(
2)
54
New
or
repowered
combined
cycle
plants
to
be
built
in
2010­
2015,
GW(
2)
12.0
Capacity
of
new
coal
fired
power
plants
to
be
built
during
CAIR
period,
GW
32.4
No.
of
new
coal
fired
power
plants
built,
with
average
500
MW
size
65
Boilermaker
hours
required
per
500
MW
coal
plant,
hrs
500,000
Capacity
of
combined
cycle
plants
to
be
built
during
CAIR
period,
GW
7.2
No.
of
new
combined
cycle
plants
built,
with
average
250
MW
size
29
Boilermaker
hours
required
per
250
MW
combined
cycle
plant,
hrs
48,000
Total
boilermaker
hours
required
between
2007­
2010
33,779,866
Boilermaker
years
required
between
2007­
2010(
3)
16,890
SIP
Call
Experience
with
New
Combined
Cycle
Power
Plants:
Capacity
of
new
combined
cycle
plants
built
during
NOx
SIP
Call,
GW/
yr
32
Capacity
of
new
combined
cycle
plants
built
during
equivalent
CAIR
period,
GW
96
No.
of
new
combined
cycle
plants
built,
with
average
250
MW
size
384
Boilermaker
hours
required
per
250
MW
combined
cycle
plant,
hrs
48,000
Total
boilermaker
hours
used
during
SIP
Call
18,432,000
Boilermaker
years
used
during
SIP
Call
9,216
No.
of
additional
boilermaker
years
available
for
CAIR
­
7,674
Effect
of
Canadian
Labor
Availability
No.
of
Canadian
boilermakers
available
during
2003
1300
No.
of
Canadian
boilermakers
assumed
to
be
available
during
CAIR
1000
No.
of
boilermaker
years
available
for
CAIR
due
to
Canadian
labor
3000
Effect
of
Non­
Union
Labor
Availability
%
of
projects
assumed
to
be
built
by
non­
union
boilermakers
10
Increase
in
the
available
boilermaker
years
for
CAIR
see
Note
3
NOTES
1.
See
Table
2
for
general
notes.
2.
The
new
coal­
and
gas­
fired
capacity
addition
is
based
on
EPA's
IPM
projections
(
see
IPM
Run
CAIR
2004_
EIA).
3.
This
increase
will
be
10%
of
the
boilermaker
years
required
for
each
applicable
case
(
see
Table
1)

18
18
